QUOTE (dolfan75070 @ Feb 18 2008, 6:45:41 PM)

Why would the Atlanta / Miami trade be "unrealistic"? Atlanta needs a QB, Ryan is the best QB in this years draft, he's a franchise QB at that and talented. On the draft points chart if the trade does happen for their 3rd pic and their first 2nd round pic, those pics still don't add up to the 3000 points the 1st pic is worth. And Atlanta still has another 2nd round pic. They don't lose much at all by making the trade.
Now, I don't know this will happen, this is just hope BUT I don't think it is unrealistic in any way. Miami may take Ryan with that first pic anyway. I hope they don't, I would rather they wait and pic up 1 of these three: Flacco, Henne or a longer project in O'connell.
I do know you're correct about contract value for the 1st overall pic. That is a tough pill to swallow.
Anyone else want to chime in with their thoughts? Unrealistic or realistic???
Here's why it won't happen, dolfan75070, and, BTW, welcome to the site.
You are correct that the two picks, according to "the chart" still don't equal the value of Miami's 1st overall pick. However, if you're going to make it "even," then it would be a swap of 1st rounders, Atlanta's first 2nd rounder, and a 4th rounder, perhaps a 3rd at best. Another thing you should realize is that not all teams use this value chart. A lot of teams have their own ways of looking at the perceived "value" of a draft pick, and the chart shown on this site is but one of a handful in use. In fact, I believe this is the chart Pat Kirwin used when he was a GM in the NFL, and he originally shared it in a column he did on nfl.com. However, it is not the only chart in existence.
The second reason it won't happen is simple economics. Economics 101, infact. In all likelihood, nobody is going to trade up to draft Ryan No1, or even No2, so he should be there at No3. Right now, the most likely scenario has Dallas trading up for McFadden, and with McFadden's stock falling that could be in jeopardy too. Even if the Falcons draft 4th, nobody who currently drafts before them will need a QB, except your Dolphins. The next team that might draft him, would be KC, and after them, Baltimore. So, unless they blow the coin flip totally and end up picking 5th (which I'm not sure they can even drop that low), they don't have to worry about anyone taking Ryan before they draft. So, why pay Ryan at No1, when you can save millions by paying him No3? That alone makes up for your perceived value from the chart for the draft picks.
Which brings us to point No3. Like your Dolphins, the Falcons need players...lots of players. To give up 2 day one picks would be a truly stupid move on their part. If...and suppose this does happen...let's say either KC or Baltimore decide they want to trade with Miami to get Ryan, and he's off the board when the Falcons pick, so what? Now they can pay attention to their Oline, Dline, LBs, or DBs with their No1 pick. Then, they could take a QB with one of their two 2nds, perhaps taking a flyer on a Henne, Flaco, or Johnson...not a bad alternative, IMO, dolfan75070.
BTW, don't be surprised if Ryan is the Fins first pick.
P.S. One more reason your proposed trade will never happne...two names...Arthur Blank...Bill Parcells. It will be a long time before Blank does business with Parcells again...unless he thinks he can hurt the Dolphins.