Jonesin’ With NYY
A semi-regular collection of musings and thoughts, along with a convoluted look at activities around the NFL, NCAA, and the world.
Analyzing & Ranking the Quarterback Situation
for Each Team In Each Divison,
In Each Conference
AFC East
Buffalo Bills Currently On The Roster: Matt Baker, 25, 6'2”, 212, exp. 1 year; Luke Drone, 26, 6'1”, 217, exp. Rookie;Trent Edwards, 24, 6'3”, 231, exp. 1 year; Gibran Hamdan, 27, 6'6:, 240, exp. 2 years; JP Losman, 27, 6'2”, 212, exp. 4 years
The Bills are going with Trent Edwards as their starting QB. this year. However, they neglected to trade JP Losman, and hopefully that non-move does not backfire on them. Losman is not known to be a great locker room guy, and if his fragile ego can't handle a backup role if Edwards has good success, then there could be a storm that equals a bad lake effect in the Buffalo locker room, or even in the press. On the other hand, should Edwards go down, or ultimately not be the guy, then Losman is still there to fall back on. Obviously Buffalo did not see anyone it liked in FA, or was not offered a high enough draft pick or a young QB they liked in a trade offer for Losman, hence he remains a member of the Bill's roster.
There is little behind these two, so perhaps keeping Losman was a good move, although Luke Drone is a very cerebral young QB with a quick release who could develop over time into a good backup.
So long as there's no meltdown in the locker room, Buffalo is in pretty good shape at QB...right now their problems lie elsewhere.
Miami Dolphins Currently on the roster: John Beck, 26, 6'2”, 216, exp. 1 year; Josh McCown, 28, 6'4”, 215, exp. 6 years; Chad Henne, 6'2”, 225, exp. Rookie
The QB situation in Miami is...all positions are up for grabs...may the best man win. This is likely to be a hard fought and spirited battle among 3 young QBs. With Parcells'...gee, did I say Parcells...I meant Sparano's penchant for veteran leadership, McCown may have the inside track to start the season, but that is no given. The Fins aren't going anywhere this year so they will take a good, hard look at the QB talent they've assembled, then make further decisions for the future once the season is over.
New England Patriots Currently on the roster: Tom Brady, 30, 6'4”, 225, exp. 8 years; Matt Cassel, 26, 6'4”, 230, exp. 3 years; Matt Gutierrez, 6'4”, 230, exp. 1 year; Kevin O'Connell, 6'5”, 225, exp. Rookie
The other side of the coin...Tom Brady. Like Manning, as long as he's standing the Pats will compete with anyone, every week, and likely win with the current roster they have.
Their backup situation is a bit better than Indy's, although I don't know how long they'd be able to compete at a high level without Brady. I personally like the selection of Kevin O'Connell in this year's draft, and believe he has a very good chance to develop into a starting NFL QB, and a good one at that, be it as Brady's eventual successor, or elsewhere.
New York Jets Currently on the roster: Erik Ainge, 6'6”, 225, exp. Rookie; Kellen Clemens, 25, 6'2”, 223, exp. 2 years; Chad Pennington, 31, 6'3”, 225, exp. 8 years; Brett Ratliff, 22, 6'4”, 224, exp. 1 year
If I were a betting man, I'd bet the only QB currently on the Jets this season who has a chance to be their QB of the future, and might be on the team 5 years from now, is rookie Erik Ainge, and he's no guarantee. I honestly do not like the Jets QB situation, and if neither Clemens or Pennington can keep them in contention, the moment they drop out, I insert Ainge to get a better read on him going forward.
Ranking the Division:
1)New England – Mostly by virtue of having Tom Brady. If he goes down with a serious injury the Pats are in trouble.
2)Buffalo – Their one two punch of Edwards and Losman gives them a fighting chance if Edwards were to go down.
3)Miami – By virtue of having what appears to be both youth and depth with more overall upside than the Jets.
4)New York Jets – If Ainge ain't the guy, this team needs to draft a QB next year.
AFC North
Baltimore Ravens Currently On The Roster: Kyle Boller, 26, 63”, 220, exp. 5 years; Joe Flacco, 23, 6'6”, 235, exp. Rookie; Brad Roach, 23, 6'6”, 245, exp. Rookie; Troy Smith, 6'0”, 225, exp. 1 year.
Former Head Coach, Brian Billick was hailed as an offensive genius upon his arrival, yet even with his hand picking of QB Kyle Boller in a draft day trade in 2003, the Ravens continue their search for a QB capable of taking this team to the playoffs before Ray Lewis is in a wheelchair. In Baltimore's Super Bowl winning year it was not Billick's offense that won it for them, it was their defense, and suffice to say he is not in the same category as Sid Gillman, Don Coryell, or Bill Walsh when it comes to offensive geniuses of the game. Amazing what having a Randy Moss and Robert Smith playing for you in a division that was very weak at the time can do for how others perceive of your abilities...the old “right place, right time” adage certainly applied to Billick and his reputation as an offensive genius.
Enter John Harbaugh as Head Coach, and a new offensive philosophy. Accompanying him, will be new No1 pick, rookie QB Joe Flacco out of Delaware. Not unlike Atlanta, there will be a huge calling for Flacco to start immediately. Even more so than Atlanta, and not much better than division cohorts Cleveland and Pittsburgh, Baltimore's schedule on paper is wicked. The one major difference being the Ravens could compete for the playoffs if they could just get competent and consistent play from the QB position. This is where Boller, or perhaps Troy Smith might not allow Flacco to see the field immediately. The Ravens likely will see what one of the veterans can do until a playoff spot is unlikely, or totally out of the question should they compete deep into the season.
That could change, should Flacco have a huge camp, and the veterans start clamoring for his insertion into the lineup. That too could be an issue facing first year coach Harbaugh, but that's also a different subject matter. In any case, Flacco has all the tools to be a very successful, and perhaps even elite QB in the NFL. It remains to be seen just how long an adjustment period he needs to move his playing level from that of Delaware, to the NFL, although I don't see any reason he can't duplicate Big Ben's ability to start his rookie year, albeit not with the same set of skill players Big Ben had around him.
Boller still has a chance to start, and become a successful NFL QB, be it with the Ravens, or another team. Perhaps a new start, with a new coach and new system will open those doors for him, but it's likely the Ravens will become Flacco's team at some point this year.
Troy Smith is an interesting player. He may not be the prototypical NFL QB, but he adds a dimension the others don't, namely his ability to make something out of nothing with his feet. With a solid camp, and a bad camp by Boller, he could snatch the opening day job for his own, but it's my feeling if he were to have a better camp than Boller, Flacco would likely get the call on opening day.
There's another interesting rookie QB on the Raven, big ol' Brad Roach out of powerhouse Catawba. He has skills but will need further coaching before his game is ready for the NFL. However, he could develop into a reliable backup in a couple of years.
Cincinnati BengalsCurrently on the roster: Ryan Fitzpatrick, 25, 6'2”, 225, exp. 3 years; Carson Palmer, 28, 6'5”, 230, exp. 5 years; Jordan Palmer, 24, 6'6”, 231, exp. Rookie; Jeff Rowe, 24, 6'5”, 221, exp. 1 year
Carson's the man in Cincinnati. He's also currently one of the best in the business at what he does. With Palmer at the helm, the Bengals have a QB fully capable of taking over games himself, and of taking them to the Super Bowl if they shore up their defense. Other than Manning and Brady, Palmer may be the best QB in the NFL...sorry Cowboy, Giant, Steeler, and Charger fans. If he played QB for the Vikings this year, it's likely they, not New England would be the Super Bowl favorites.
The Bengals also have a good, smart backup in Ryan Fitzpatrick, an ex-Ivy leaguer, he's just no Carson Palmer. Behind him they have Carson's brother, Jordan, and Jeff Rowe, two developmental projects. Most teams would trade positions with the Bengals on the QB front on a moment's notice.
Cleveland Browns Currently on the roster: Derek Anderson, 24, 6'6”, 230, exp. 3 years; Ken Dorsey, 27, 6'4”, 220, exp. 6 years; Brady Quinn, 23, 6'2”, 235, exp. 1 year
The Browns are another team that is not lacking at the QB positon, in fact they have great depth here. There will not be any competition or controversy this year. Anderson is set to start...Quinn is waiting in the wings should he get injured or falter...and Dorsey adds a young, yet savvy veteran to the mix as the 3rd QB. A very good situation at the QB position for a team with high hopes going into the year.
Pittsburgh Steelers Currently on the roster: Charlie Batch, 33, 6'2”, 216, exp. 10 years; Dennis Dixon, 6'4”, 205, exp. Rookie; Mike Potts, 6'4”, 220, exp. Rookie; Ben Roethlisberger, 26, 6'5”, 241, exp. 4 years; Jared Zabransky, 24, 6'2”, 219, exp. 1 year
Big Ben is the undisputed starter here, and unless he's injured, that won't be changing anytime soon. He's proven to be one of the better young QBs in the game, and I will admit to doubting he would become this good not too long ago. At the ripe old age of 26, he is already the owner of a Super Bowl ring. He has some new weapons this year, both in the backfield, and at the WR spot, so he might crank it up yet another notch. He'll have to, the schedule maker was very unkind to the Steelers, and Cleveland has dramatically improved on paper.
The backup situation is in pretty good shape with Charlie Batch, a proven veteran sitting around just in case. Look for rookie Dennis Dixon to be inserted into some special offensive packages this year, ala Kordell Stewart and the old “Slash” plays.
Unless Big Ben takes a big fall, the Steelers are in real good shape at the QB position, with good depth.
Ranking the Division:
1)Cleveland – By virtue of their overall depth, I give the Browns a slight nod over the Steelers.
2)Pittsburgh – Almost a toss up with them and Cleveland. Both have top starters and good backups, but I feel Cleveland has a better top 3 on paper should it come down to that.
3)Cincinnati - Carson Palmer is an elite QB, and the best in this division...sorry Browns and Steeler fans. The depth behind him, especially after Fitzpatrick is both young, and unknown at this time.
4)Baltimore – Until they figure out who the starter is, they have to take a back seat, although they have a deep and interesting cast...certainly not the worse group in the league.
AFC South
Houston Texans Currently on the roster: Shane Boyd, 25, 6'1”, 232, exp. 1 year; Quinn Gray, 29, 6'3”, 254, exp. 4 years; Sage Rosenfels, 30, 6'2” 224, exp. 7 years; Matt Schaub, 26, 6'5”, 237, exp. 4 years
Schaub is the starter, and if he can remain healthy this year, the Texans might begin to recoup part of the bounty they paid for him. Last year he threw for only 9 TDs with 9 ints. to go with them...not what you need or expect from this position. Schaub is a talented young man, and if the Texans ever put together an offensive line that can protect their QB, perhaps they can move forward.
Backing up Schaub is the under-rated Sage Rosenfels, along with another quality backup QB in Quinn Gray, who used to be with the Jaguars. Boyd is a project.
Realistically, you would think Schaub needs to stay healthy for the Texans to have a chance, but he is not what I would call an elite QB, and they have two quality backups that can come in and play close to, if not just as well if he gets hurt...and with their offensive line history, they might need all three.
Indianapolis Colts Currently on the roster: Josh Betts, 25, 6'2”, 217, exp. 1 year; Peyton Manning, 32, 6'5”, 230, exp. 10 years; Jim Sorgi, 27, 6'5, 196
So...who's the better QB...Manning...or Brady? I will now give you the answer to that question...flip a coin. If you asked any team in the league to pick the one they wanted, that's likely how they'd make their decision...both are the cream of the current crop of signal callers in the NFL.
So long as Peyton is taking the snaps behind center, the Colts can beat anyone, on any day. Once again, they will ride his right arm into the playoffs, so long as he's standing. He's had a remarkable career, and he's stayed remarkably healthy. However, if he happens to get injured, the Colts are in deep doodoo. Neither of their backups are capable of taking this team anywhere...but south...where they'll find the Jaguars waiting.
Jacksonville Jaguars Currently on the roster: Todd Bouman, 35, 6'2”, 226, exp. 9 years; David Garrard, 30, 6'1”, 245, exp. 6 years; Cleo Lemon, 28, 6'2”, 215, exp. 4 years; Paul Smith, 23, 6'1”, 198, exp. Rookie
After gambling on David Garrard as his starting QB last year and releasing Byron Leftwich, Jack Del Rio was rewarded by a league stunning performance by his newly appointed QB. Now, the question is...can Garrard duplicate, and hopefully improve on last year's performance to get this team over the hump? The opposition has now had the off season to go over the films on him, and he will almost certainly be played much different this year than last. If he continues to improve, the Jags could give Indy a run for the division.
A problem the Jags do have, is not having any quality backup in place. An injury to Garrard will most likely end any playoff hopes they currently have.
Tennessee Titans Currently on the roster: Kerry Collins, 35, 6'5”, 245, exp. 13 years; Ingle Martin, 25, 6'2”, 220, exp. 1 year; Paul Thompson, 24, 6'4”, 215, exp. 1 year; Vince Young, 25, 6'5”, 233, exp. 2 years
A tough team that has QB issues, in my opinion. Another team trying to turn a runner into a NFL QB, and Atlanta fans are quite aware of that slippery slope...so are any Bear fans old enough to remember Bobby Douglas....Jeff Fischer should know about him. It just does not work. You have to be a QB first, not just an athlete, which is what I see in Vince Young. He will, in my opinion, never, ever be an elite NFL QB...period. He's a schoolyard player in a game that requires structure and recognition. Now, if you are going to try and shove the ball down the opponent's throat, then fine, he's your man. However, in today's NFL, with the rules so much in favor of the vertical game, having a QB who can hit moving targets with some consistency is of the utmost importance...especially if you want to go deep into the playoffs against good defenses that can move extra men into the box because your QB can't hit the south end of a north bound horse from 5 feet away with a handful of rock salt. Vince Young equals a taller, slower, right-handed Michael Vick, when it comes to the forward pass. A coach killer, in NFL jargon...shows instances of greatness just often enough to make you believe in him...which ultimately gets you fired.
The rest of the QBs are okay backups. Collins can still throw the deep ball with anyone, and will play really good, unless you allow the opposition to hit him a few times, at which time he begins throwing interceptions.
If the Titans are serious about wanting to go to the Super Bowl, it is this man's opinion that they better get themselves a real QB first.
Ranking the Division:
1)Indianapolis – You have to start with Indy, and Peyton. Nobody else in the division is close, although if Peyton gets hurt, the Colts will come back to the pack quickly.
2)Houston – Based on total overall depth and ability, the Texans QB corps is better than the Jaguars, in my opinion.
3)Jacksonville – Garrard had a nice year last year. If he can duplicate it, the Jaguars will fight Indy for the division. After him, like Indy, there isn't much to talk about.
4)Tennessee – Until Vince Young can prove me wrong (Mike Vick never did, and I always said the same things about him), I will tell you this team NEEDS a QB.
AFC West
Denver Broncos Currently on the roster: Jay Cutler, 25, 6'3”, 233, exp. 2 years; Cullen Finnerty, 25, 6'2”, 223, exp. 1 year; Darrell Hackney, 24, 6'0”, 242, exp. 1 year; Patrick Ramsey, 29, 6'2”, 225, exp. 6 years
The Broncos are another team with a good QB situation. Cutler is the young starter, and much is anticipated for his future, regardless of the diabetes situation. Ramsey is a quality backup with experience who could probably start for the Vikings, Bears, or Lions, among others. If Denver improves in the other areas they need to enough, the QBs are capable of taking them deep into the playoffs.
Behind Cutler and Ramsey are Finnerty and Hackney.
Kansas City Chiefs Currently on the roster: Brodie Croyle, 25, 6'2”, 206, exp. 2 years; David Greene, 25, 6'3”, 226, exp. 1 year; Damon Huard, 34, 6'3”, 218, exp. 11 years; Tyler Thigpen, 24, 6'1”, 224, exp. 1 year
In a vote of confidence for Croyle, the Chiefs, despite having 12 selections in the 2008 draft, did not select a QB at all. The job is Croyle's to lose...and perhaps the jobs of Head Coach Herm Edwards and GM Carl Peterson's as well. Personally, I don't see Croyle developing into anymore than an average NFL QB at best, and it's my opinion he should be in a backup role, not a starting role. Of course, occasionally I am wrong...about once every blue moon. I think this team needs to find a good, quality QB before it can begin thinking about serious playoff contention once the kids they just drafted start to mature.
The backup situation is no better, so Croyle better repay the gift he got, or he won't be starting long. I look for the Chiefs to draft a QB early in next year's draft.
Oakland Raiders Currently on the roster: Erik Meyer, 25, 6'1”, 215, exp. 0; Jeff Otis, 25, 6'2”, 208, exp. 1 year; JaMarcus Russell, 22, 6'6”, 255, exp. 1 year; Marques Tuiasosopo, 29, 6'1”, 220, exp. 7 years; Andrew Walter, 26, 6'6”, 230, exp. 3 years; Brian White, 23, 6'5”, 225, exp. Rookie
There is only one scenario Raider fans are hoping for, and that hope is that JaMarcus Russell is the real deal. If he isn't, it's back to the drawing board, and that is not a good thing. Al Davis has done his best to position his team to win now, by doing so, he has jeapordized their chances should the NFL go into a no cap year in 2010.
Unfortunately, most young QBs need a few years of experience before they are able to successfully navigate the defenses they face in the pros. Russell showed some promise last year, but he also showed his youth and inexperience. I think it's a wise Raider fan who realizes it's unlikely for Russell to play at an All-Pro level in his second year...then again, stranger things have happened.
Behind Russell, the only player of note is Andrew Walter. The others are too young and inexperienced, or, in Tuiasosopo's case, a retread that's been found wanting wherever he's played.
If the dollars spent this off season transpose into production on the field, and Russell can improve as the year goes on while keeping the Raiders respectable, they just might snag a Wild Card berth...it all comes down to No. 2.
San Diego Chargers Currently on the roster: Casey Bramlet, 27, 6'4”, 225, exp. 1 year; Phillip Rivers, 26, 6'5”, 238, exp. 4 years; Billy Volek, 32, 6'2”, 214, exp. 8 years; David Whitehurst, 25, 6'4”, 227, exp. 2 years
The Chargers are very happy with Rivers who really came on last year, especially near the end where he had 6 games with a QB rating over 100. Although he suffered an ACL in the playoff game against the Colts, he is already running the 1st team offense in OTAs, and there's little doubt he will be back at full capacity to start the season. He appears to have adjusted very well to the leg brace he now wears on his knee, unlike the problems Carson Palmer had adjusting to his brace.
In the event Rivers does go down, Billy Volek is one of the better backups in the league, and knows the offense now. Another gem the Chargers have is David Whitehurst, a 3rd round pick two years ago, now entering his 3rd season with them. They are extremely happy with the progress he's made each year, and he will be hard to keep buried on the depth chart, perhaps snagging the backup job away from Volek this year. That competition is expected to be very intense this training camp. Bramlet is camp fodder.
The Chargers, from the starter to the 3rd stringer, might have the best trio of QBs of any team in the league and are infinitely more prepared for any disaster that might hit this area than most playoff caliber teams.
Ranking the Division:
1)San Diego – From the quality of Rivers starting, down to Whitehurst, currently 3rd on the depth chart, San Diego's QB corps has few, if any peers in the entire NFL.
2)Denver – At this point in time, Cutler is more proven than Russell, and he has a quality backup in Ramsey.
3)Oakland – It all comes down to Russell. If he gets injured, or flops, Kansas City's QB's could be better.
4)Kansas City – Brody Croyle? Okay, if you say so.
NFC East
Dallas Cowboys Currently on the roster: Richard Bartel, 25, 6'3”, 230, exp. 1 year; Brad Johnson, 39, 6'5”, 238, exp. 16 years; Tony Romo, 28, 6'2”, 224, exp. 6 years;
So long as Romo stands upright, the Cowboys have one of the upper echelon QBs in the league, and a good chance of returning to the playoffs, and perhaps winning a game this time. Romo has very good mobility, but that also leaves him open to taking a hard shot that could end his, and the Cowboy's season, should it happen.
Behind Romo there is really very little for a team with so much on the line. Brad Johnson would be adequate for a game or two, but at 39 you can't count on him should Romo suffer a serious injury. The only other QB currently listed on the Cowboy roster is Bartel, who is a UDFA with potential to develop.
Much like Carolina, I question Dallas' wisdom in not bringing in a more capable backup for Romo should one be needed for any length of time. Another team taking perhaps one too many rolls of the dice, especially considering Romo's penchant for running out of the pocket.
New York Giants Currently on the roster: David Carr, 28, 6'3”, 216, exp. 6 years; Jared Lorenzen, 28, 6'4”, 285, exp. 3 years; Eli Manning, 27, 6'4”, 225, exp. 4 years; Andre Woodson, 6'5”, 224, exp. Rookie; Anthony Wright, 32, 6'1”, 211, exp. 9 years
Eli Manning came alive when it counted most last year, at the end of the year, and in the playoffs. The question all Giant fans have is...can he continue on where he left off and improve even more, or will he continue to be inconsistent? One often overlooked fact that plays against Eli and accounts for some of his perceived inconsistencies, along with the Jet's QBs, and any visiting QBs are the swirling winds in Giant stadium that affect the forward pass...sometimes drastically. Playing those playoff games on the road may have been a blessing in disguise.
The one major difference I noticed as the Giants went further into the playoffs, was how his teammates began looking at Manning as their leader. I think that will continue now, and that can only help. The Giants have a rough road just to get back to the playoffs, much less the Super Bowl again, but their QB situation is better than most.
Manning is no doubt the starter, and his continued improvement is a necessary ingredient if the Giants are to make another run deep into the playoffs this year. The Giants took a flier on the now vagabond David Carr to see if there's anything there worth resurrecting. This is not a bad gamble, but he may not make the team. Jared Lorenzen has shown spurts, and the Giants would like him to lose a little more weight, even though he will never be considered svelte. Andre Woodson, the rookie from Kentucky will likely sit on the bench, or the practice squad this year, and Anthony Wright will have a hard time making the team.
There could be trouble if Manning goes down, if Carr can't resurrect his career, or if Lorenzen can't handle the pressure, so Giant's fans will also be holding their breath every time he goes down hard.
Philadelphia Eagles Currently on the roster: AJ Feeley, 31, 6'3”, 220, exp. 7 years; Casey Hanson, 23, 6'5”, 235, exp. Rookie; Kevin Kolb, 23, 6'3”, 218, exp. 1 year; Donovan McNabb, 31, 6'2”, 240, exp. 9 years
The Donovan McNabb saga may be coming to a close...or, he just might lead them back to the playoffs. Either scenario could be the end result of the upcoming season. McNabb, when healthy, is one of the better and more effective QBs in the game. However, in 5 of the last 6 years, McNabb has failed to play the whole year through. Then of course, there was also the famous upchuck in the playoffs that TO made sure everyone was aware of.
If McNabb goes down, it may not be the disaster it has been in the past. The Eagles are very high on youngster Kevin Kolb, and it appears they've designated him to become the QB of the future. Also on board is AJ Feeley, who seems to play well in Andy Reid's system.
Depending on how the running game goes, the Eagles could find themselves back in the playoffs this year, especially if McNabb can stay healthy. All in all, the Eagles are pretty set at the QB position, and a lot of teams would love to trade places with them.
Washington Redskins Currently on the roster: Colt Brennan, 6'3”, 205, exp. Rookie; Jason Campbell, 26, 6'5”, 233, exp. 3 years; Todd Collins, 36, 6'4”, 225, exp. 13 years; Derek Devine, 23, 6'3”, 223, exp. Rookie; Sam Hollenbach, 24, 6'4”, 215, exp. 1 year
Campbell has come a long way, although he was injured the last part of last year. He's a good looking young QB who gives you a chance to win games, and will also win some for you. Brought along nicely by Joe Gibbs, he gives the Redskins a very good starter if he can keep his hamstrings healthy.
Collins is a very capable backup, and both Brennan and Devine are projects.
Ranking the Division:
1)Philadelphia – The combination of a really good starter, along with a good crew of backups gives the Eagles the best QB corps in this division.
2)New York Giants – Based on the quality starter in Manning, and the young but promising depth behind him.
3)Washington – Campbell and Collins give the Redskins the edge over Dallas here.
4)Dallas – If you were to just consider the starter, they would be rated higher, perhaps even 1st. However, the overall QB situation for the Cowboys is tenuous at best with Romo's running several times a game adding to the pounding he takes.
NFC North
Chicago BearsCurrently on the roster: Rex Grossman, 27, 6'1”, 217, exp. 6 years; Caleb Hanie 6'2”, 236, exp. Rookie; Nick Hill, 6'3”, 210, exp. Rookie; Kyle Orton, 25, 6'4”, 217, exp. 4 years
Here we go again, Bears fans. Different year, same question...can the Bears find a consistent and steady QB to lead them back to the playoffs? It's my opinion that even if they find a QB, they still don't have the talent to win their division, but that is another argument.
Gone is Brian Griese, leaving Kyle Orton and Rex Grossman to battle it out for the starting job in training camp. It's my opinion that Chicago would not find itself in this predicament had it not thrown Orton by the wayside a couple of years ago for the much flashier, yet inconsistent and injury prone Grossman. Lost, is the valuable experience Orton could have had during the interim.
When Grossman went down and Orton originally came in, all he did was win. Sure it was ugly, but who cares? He was a rookie, and the Bears made the playoffs because of him...not Grossman. Jeez, someone comes in and throws a couple of beauties in a game at the end of the year and...wala....end of story for Orton...until now.
Hopefully, people will look a little deeper this time. Here's a thought...Purdue has a habit and reputation of putting out some pretty good NFL QBs who have had nice careers. Florida, on the other hand, and particularly when Spurrier was there, has the habit and reputation of putting out a bunch of over-rated system QBs who are not very successful when it comes to playing football in the NFL. Guess who played where Bears fans.
There is little doubt that Grossman has the better arm of the two. But Orton's arm is good enough, and when it comes to consistency, to steadiness, week in and week out, Orton is the man. He has a nice height advantage too, and is better equipped for the pounding QBs take in the pro game. I like Orton to win this training camp battle, and for the Bears to move on to their other areas of concern. Grossman will make a nice backup, and his salary is cap friendly for that purpose too.
Chicago has little behind these two, although Hill gave Joe Flacco and Delaware a scare in the 1-AA playoffs, and Hanie has looked just a bit sharper in the OTAs. One will probably be carried as the 3rd QB, and the other will likely spend the year on the Bears, or some other team's practice squad.
Detroit Lions Currently on the roster: Jon Kitna, 35, 6'2”, 220, exp. 11 years; Dan Orlovsky, 24, 6'5”, 230, exp. 3 years; Drew Stanton, 24, 6'3”, 226, exp. 1 year
What can we say about the Lion QB situation? That Jon Kitna is a terrible prognosticator? That Jon Kitna is getting old? One thing is certain, Jon Kitna is a decent QB, although were I a Lions fan, I'd feel a lot more comfortable if he were the backup.
The future at QB may, or may not be on the current team. I think Orlovsky is nothing more than a 3rd stringer. What the Lions need to determine is if Drew Stanton is the long-term answer or not, and they should try and find out sooner, rather than later. If not, their direction in next year's draft is predetermined.
Green Bay Packers Currently on the roster: Brian Brohm, 6'3”, 227; exp. Rookie; Matt Flynn, 6'2”, 220, exp. Rookie; Aaron Rodgers, 24, 6'2”, 223, exp. 3 years
This is Aaron Rodgers neighborhood now...and it's Rodgers or bust. The Packers have but two rookie signal callers behind him on the current roster providing they make no other moves between now and the season's start. The Pack's hopes of making the playoffs is totally dependent upon keeping Mr. Rodgers healthy all year. That's on top of his already heavy burden of taking over for a Green Bay legend, in the retired Brett Farve.
This truly is a sticky situation for a team with bona fide playoff aspirations based on last year's performance and the young talent they've assembled...I believe there might just be something to the rumors about ol' No. 4 waiting in the wings in case of an emergency.
Minnesota Vikings Currently on the roster: Brooks Bollinger, 28, 6'1”, 205, exp. 5 years; John David Booty, 6'3”, 213, exp. Rookie; Gus Ferotte, 36, 6'3”, 233, exp. 14 years; Tavaris Jackson, 25, 6'2”, 232, exp. 2 years; Kyle Wright, 6'3', 225, exp. Rookie
Here, in the land of Vikings, is the biggest question in the NFL...can they find a QB who will help their offense? They've assmebled what looks to be a dominating defense, and have most of the puzzle in place...except QB.
Tavaris Jackson is the starter...at the moment. Most of the reserves won't give him much of a battle for his job, at least initially. However, the Vikings drafted John David Booty from USC, and he has the skills to step in and likely equal Jackson's passing ability right now. Once he learns the offense, he could well surpass Jackson. Another intriguing pickup, was UDFA Kyle Wright, who was one of the most sought after HS QBs when he entered college at U of Miami, FL. The team there was in a flux, and he also needed to mature a bit, which he has, so he could provide some competition too.
In any case, unless the Vikings can pose some sort of legitimate threat in the passing game they probably won't get to the Super Bowl. Once they get to the playoffs, most defenses they face will be at least pretty good, or more likely really good, and they will try to clamp down on the Vike's running attack and force them to pass in order to advance. This team needs a QB...be it Jackson, or someone else to step up...and step up now.
Ranking the Division:
1)Green Bay – No Farve...so what...the Pack still has the best starting QB in the division in Rodgers. Nice looking rookies for insurance too, although I'd prefer a veteran with some ability.
2)Minnesota – Based on the assumption that Jackson improves enough to win a game now and then when they need it, and the depth behind him.
3)Detroit – Jon Kitna could be the best in this division, but there is nothing behind him that excites me, unless Stanton comes along.
4)Chicago – This position could move up, depending on how Orton looks. If he's paid attention while he's been sitting, then he could be a surprise here. If Grossman wins that competition, the Bears are in trouble.
NFC South
Atlanta Falcons Currently On The Roster: Joey Harrington, 29, 6'4”, 210, exp. 7 years; Chris Redman, 30, 6'3”, 221, exp. 6 years; D.J. Shockley, 25, 6'0”, 222, exp. 2 years; Matt Ryan, 23, 6'4”, 220, exp. Rookie
The ideal situation would be for the Falcons to allow No1 pick Matt Ryan to hold the clipboard, observe, and learn during his first year, while looking for opportunities to insert him into games they're comfortably ahead in, or more likely, hopelessly behind in later on during the season for some experience against NFL defenses and to get a better line on the speed of the game for next year. Unfortunately, due to today's economics, and the current question marks surrounding his competition for the starting job, that may not be a realistic alternative.
Many would like Ryan to at least get a month or so of sitting before taking the helm. They might point to him perhaps becoming “gun shy,” or that he'd benefit by sitting and watching for the first month or two.
I say, “hogwash.” I believe when camp breaks, the best thing the Falcons can do is throw him into the fire. Why?
First of all, 4 of the first 6 games, including the first three are against Cover 2 defenses. By the end of the sixth game, he should have a very good idea of what to expect from that defense as a NFL QB, valuable experience he would not get sitting on the bench.
Secondly, the Falcons open against Detroit, Tampa Bay, and Kansas City...not exactly an overwhelming schedule, and very workable to allow a rookie QB to gain valuable experience, and hopefully confidence. Another positive situation with the first 3 games is none of their opponents are known for having a ferocious pass rush.
Thirdly, all of their 3 opening opponent's defenses are predicated on the Tampa 2, as both Rod Marinelli and Herm Edwards are disciples of Monte Kiffin. In effect, Ryan would virtually play against the same defensive scheme for the first three games, easing the learning curve a bit for him until they begin playing other styles of defenses.
And finally, Atlanta's schedule does not get any easier as the year progresses. From week 4 on, Atlanta has few schedule breaks, especially considering the youth and current direction of this team. Ryan will no doubt make his fair share of mistakes anyhow as a rookie QB, so he might as well make them from the get go. Ryan's best attributes coming out of college are his leadership and his mental and physical toughness, which I predict will serve him well, allowing him to work his way through his rookie season as the starter, where a less mentally tough young QB might well fail. He will also be able to maintain and further develop a working cohesiveness with his WRs that has already begun in the OTAs, and will continue during Training Camp. I say let the Harringtons and Redmans sit for the long-term benefit of both Ryan, and the Falcons.
Carolina Panthers Currently On The Roster: Brett Basanez, 25, 6'2, 210, exp. 2 years; Jake Delhomme, 33, 6'2”, 215, exp. 8 years; Lester Ricard, 24, 6'5”, 222, exp. 1 year; Matt Moore, 23, 6'3”, 202, exp. 2 years; Taylor Tharp, 23, 6'1”, 203, exp. Rookie
Virtually all the Panther's eggs are in the Jake Delhomme basket. As goes Delhomme, so go the Panthers. They could once again compete for a playoff spot, or just as likely battle it out with Atlanta for last in their division. Delhomme is coming back from major arm surgery, the first ever NFL QB to have Tommy John surgery. Only time will tell, but if he goes down, there is nobody that can lead this team to the playoffs, period.
Unless the Panthers can come up with a decent veteran QB before the season starts, Panther fans better hold their collective breaths and keep their fingers and toes crossed that Delhomme stays healthy. This is a very scary situation to be in for a team with playoff aspirations.
New Orleans Saints Currently on the roster: Drew Brees, 29, 6'0”, 209. exp. 7 years; Mark Brunell, 37, 6'1”, 217, exp. 15 years; Travis Lulay, 24, 6'2”, 216, exp. 1 year; Tyler Palko, 24, 6'2”, 215, exp. 1 year
The Saints presently have, in Drew Brees, one of the better QBs in the NFL. With basically nobody behind him they brought in Mark Brunell to back him up while they continue to try and develop Tyler Palko, best known for being the reason Joe Flacco went to Delaware.
As long as Brees stays healthy, the Saints have a legitimate shot at the playoffs, especially within the NFC South division. If he goes down, Brunell is a crafty veteran, and could hold the ship for a short time. However, if Brees were to miss more than 4 games or so, it's questionable whether or not Brunell has enough left in the tank to lead New Orleans into the playoffs. Lulay will likely be cut.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Currently on the roster: Jeff Garcia, 38, 6'1”, 205, exp. 9 years; Brian Griese, 33, 6'3”, 214, exp. 10 years; Josh Johnson, 6'3”, 198, exp. Rookie; Luke McCown, 26, 6'3”, 212, exp. 4 years; Chris Simms, 27, 6'4”, 220, exp. 4 years
Jeff Garcia is a wonder. I mean that. Every year, I wonder who is going to take his job, and he keeps coming back. He's not a terrible QB at all, but he's just not the QB who I envision taking my team to the Super Bowl. He'll get you to the playoffs, but not much more. Good, but not quite good enough. That's because physically he is barely an NFL QB...mentally, he might be at the top of the heap.
The Bucs have plenty of depth with quality behind Garcia. Brian Griese has at one time or another led teams to the playoffs too, and can hold the fort if need be. Luke McCown might be something down the road. He played well when called upon, but took too many sacks. Why they haven't traded Chris Simms yet is a small mystery to me, considering he's basically in Gruden's dog house for whatever reason. If he is to salvage any type of career in the NFL, he needs them to trade or cut him now, before the season. Josh Johnson was drafted as a 2-3 year project with the future in mind.
Overall, the Buccaneers have a good group of QBs. Nothing special at this point, but all good, competent NFL QBs who won't lose too many games for you.
Ranking the Division:
1)New Orleans – Drew Brees and Marc Brunell are both quality players, and QBs who've seen it all. Quality over quantity.
2)Tampa Bay – Quantity. Nothing special here, but plenty of good depth.
3)Atlanta – Surprised? You shouldn't be. Ryan will be fine whenever he starts, and both Harrington and Redman are good backups.
4)Carolina – If they had anyone good behind Delhomme they could be second, but alas, they are last.
NFC West
Arizona Cardinals Currently on the roster: Matt Leinart, 25, 6'5”, 232, exp. 2 years; Anthony Morelli, 22, 6'3”, 228, exp. Rookie; Brian St. Pierre, 28, 6'3”, 230, exp. 6 years; Kurt Warner, 36, 6'2”, 222, exp. 11 years.
Personally, I do not like the QB situation for the Arizona Cardinals. I will admit to initially liking the pick of Matt Leinart with the 10th pick in the draft, thinking the Cards got a steal, but he has done little to warrant that slot in the draft process. I kind of envisioned him as a young Kenny Stabler type of QB. That has not happened, to say the least.
My opinion of Leinart is that he continues to suffer from the “big man on campus” syndrome he caught at USC. This is the NFL, and if he does not begin to dedicate himself soon, the old Jerry Glanville quote of that being an acronym for, “Not For Long,” will apply to his career. Of course, he's already a rich man, so we shall see what he's really made of, and how much he really wants to be a good player.
Leinart will never be mistaken for, nor have the arm of a Peyton Manning, but neither did Stabler and he's in the Hall of Fame. He doesn't even need to be as good as Stabler was in order to be successful in the NFL, and to take his team to, and win the Super Bowl. Trent Dilfer did it, and I don't think he had Leinart's overall skill set, other than a better long arm. However, he was tough, both physically and mentally, something I haven't seen in Leinart. Now, there's also a health concern and questions about Leinart's ability to stay healthy for a full season.
If Leinart does not start showing a big improvement this year, I'd seriously begin looking for a new “QB of the future” were I running the Cardinal front office.
However, all is not lost in Cardinal land. Fortunately, the Cards have Kurt Warner as their No1 backup, and that could very well change during training camp. Although he has been somewhat injury prone, he played well last year, and there's no doubt that given adequate protection Warner is a QB who can take a team far.
A name to keep an eye on is UDFA Anthony Morelli, a rookie out of Penn State. When you think of Penn State, one does not often confuse the history of their passing offense with the likes of BYU or Stanford. If he'd gone to a more traditional passing college, it's likely he would have been drafted, and perhaps very high. Morelli has a ton of upside, and a great arm...he just needs coaching. He's a very mature kid, with a knack for keeping things in their proper perspective, so I'd keep an eye on him for the future. It will take a couple of years, but the end result might be the long-term answer at QB for the Cardinals...and if so, his story could be equal to that of some guy named Brady.
San Francisco 49ers Currently on the roster: Shaun Hill, 28, 6'3”, 226, exp. 6 years; JT O'Sullivan, 28, 6'2”, 227, exp. 5 years; Drew Olson, 25, 6'2”, 222, exp. 1 year; Alex Smith, 24, 6'4”, 210, exp. 3 years
The 49ers have been hoping for Alex Smith to come through ever since they made him the 1st pick in the draft 4 years ago. He's had some ups and downs, and a Head Coach who could use some social skill building work that's turned some against him. However, the one year Norv Turner was in San Francisco, Smith played very well. This year, another well known QB mentor, Mike Martz comes to town. Now, I'm no fan of Martz's offensive schemes, but he seems to know how to coach up QBs, and 49er fans should be excited. Another thing about Smith is he is now going into his 4th year in the league, and he's still only 24 having graduated college a year early in a very tough program, so he is no dummy. I think he just needs someone like another Turner to coach him up and he'll be fine.
If Martz isn't that guy, the 49ers are in for a long season because the rest of the 49er QBs are nothing to write home about.
They aren't going to the playoffs this year, but with the right coaching, the 49ers can at least settle the QB position down, and turn their efforts elsewhere next year.
Seattle Seahawks Currently on the roster: Dalton Bell, 25, 6'2”, 206, exp. 1 year; Charlie Frye, 26, 6'4”, 217, exp. 3 years; Matt Hasselbeck, 32, 6'4”, 225, exp. 9 years;Seneca Wallace, 27, 5'11”, 205, exp. 5 years
It seems like Matt Hasselbeck has been around forever. He's been a terrific QB, and even though he's starting to get up in years, he should still play at a high level for the next 2-3 years, giving the Seahawks time to find his eventual successor in the next draft or two. With Hasselbeck at the helm, the Seahawks will once again be the odds on favorites to win the NFC West, although both St. Louis and Arizona would like to think otherwise.
Both Charlie Frye and Seneca Wallace are basically career backups, but both are also competent enough to hold the ship for a short time should Hasselbeck go down. However, if Hasselbeck were to sustain a long-term injury, then Seattle would be hard pressed to replace him with any degree of success with their present set of backups.
St. Louis Rams Currently on the roster: Brock Berlin, 26, 6'1”, 215, exp. 1 year; Marc Bulger, 31, 6'3”, 212, exp. 7 years; Bruce Gradowski, 25, 6'1”, 220, exp. 2 years; Trent Green, 37, 6'3”, 217, exp. 14 years
Other than Bulger, who is a very good QB, the Rams are another team with QB issues should their starter go down. Bulger took a beating last year, and ended up on the disabled list. They need to keep him healthy, or what chance they have of making the playoffs will go out the window.
Green whose best days are well behind him due to multiple concussions, should likely be a coach, not an active player if he wants to keep in the game. He'd probably be a decent QB coach too. The rest of the Rams QBs are career backups, with Berlin likely the best of the bunch.
Ranking the Division:
1)Seattle – Hasselbeck is the best in the division, and he has decent backups.
2)St. Louis – Bulger is next best, and although the backups aren't much to write home about, Berlin could yet develop into a pretty good player.
3)Arizona – This was a tough decision, only because Leinart has been “named” the starter, but I think Smith has more upside than he does. What swayed the decision, was Warner. I also think Morelli will pan out down the road.
4)San Francisco – Smith could be the division's best QB in a year or two, depending on him progressing under Martz as he did under Turner. The kid has ability if he's put with the right coach. There's nobody worth talking about behind him.
Finally,As many of you know, I live in the so called, “Sunshine State.” Of course, it's now hurricane season down here, but here's a little antidote about the Florida State Police I thought you might enjoy...it's called, State Trooper
A senior citizen in Florida bought a brand new Corvette convertible. He took off down the road, flooring it to 80 mph enjoying the wind blowing through what little hair he had left on his head. "This is great," he thought as he roared down I-95, feeling more exhilarated than he had in years.
He pushed the pedal to the metal even more. Then he looked in his rear view mirror and saw a state police car behind him, blue lights flashing and siren blaring.
"I can get away from him with no problem" thought the man and he tromped it some more and flew down the road at over 100 mph.
Then 110...120 mph.
Then he thought, "What am I doing? I'm too old for this kind of thing."
He pulled over to the side of the road and waited for the trooper to catch up with him.
The trooper pulled in behind the Corvette and walked up to the man. "Sir," he said, looking at his watch. "My shift ends in 30 minutes and today is Friday. If you can give me a reason why you were speeding that I've never heard before, I'll let you go."
The man looked at the trooper and said, "30 years ago my wife ran off with a Florida State Trooper, and I thought you were bringing her back."
"Have a good day, Sir," said the Trooper.
Until next time...keep on Jonesin'